Source | Yuntou Toutiao How should China's craft beer industry chart its future? The 30-year evolution of coffee offers a valuable playbook. In the 1990s, Nestlé introduced instant coffee, sparking initial consumer adoption—a spoonful of powder, a cup of hot water, convenient but monotonous in flavor. This mirrors the 'industrial watery beer' in the beer world, which merely satisfies basic needs without quality. In 2000, Starbucks burst onto the scene, bringing 'freshly ground coffee' into the public eye. It not only offered a fresh, flavorful cup but also created a 'third space' consumer experience, akin to the niche circles craft beer enthusiasts enjoyed in early bars. From 2015 to the present, emerging brands like Luckin Coffee and Cotti Coffee have liberated coffee from the 'third space,' achieving the goal of making 'affordable freshly ground coffee' within easy reach through high-density street-side stores. Leveraging digital operations, efficient supply chains, and capital, they have deployed outlets in office buildings, communities, and street corners, making a freshly brewed cup as convenient as buying bottled water. This marks coffee consumption shifting from 'experience-driven' to 'convenience-driven' and 'daily necessity.' From instant to freshly made, coffee has transformed over 30 years. The lessons learned are worth studying for craft beer, which is transitioning from 'being available' to 'being fresh.' Industrial beer upgrades to craft fresh beer Small stores plus high-frequency purchases become a trend In October 2025, Mixue Bingcheng, with over 50,000 stores, acquired Fujia Beer, signaling a strong strategic direction toward 'fresh beer.' Mixue Bingcheng is one of China's largest chain brands by store count, with core strengths in extreme supply chain management, high store density, and strong penetration into lower-tier markets. Applying its proven 'street-side store + affordable high-frequency' model from tea drinks and ice cream to the beer industry will have far-reaching implications. Through Mixue Bingcheng's channel network, Fujia's fresh beer can quickly expand, forming a high-density draft beer network. Instant retail platforms act as an 'aerial bridge,' extending the fresh beer capabilities of offline outlets to cover a wider consumption radius. This 'online traffic + offline draft' model will build an 'ultimate fresh beer supply chain' from brewery to consumer, minimizing logistics time and ensuring freshness—the core competitive advantage of fresh beer over bottled or canned beer. Imagine a future where every community, office building, and commercial street has a small fresh beer station. Consumers order via their phones, choose their preferred fresh beer—whether a crisp lager, a fruity ale, or a specialty flavor tied to local cuisine. A freshly tapped beer, at the right temperature with a creamy head, can be delivered within minutes via instant retail platforms like Meituan Waimai, JD Daojia, or Taobao Flash Purchase. Alternatively, consumers can visit the store to enjoy the fun of 'tapping' and savor the ultimate freshness. With these consumption scenarios, when a fresh beer is as conveniently delivered as coffee, beer consumption will shift from 'industrial product' to 'fresh beverage.' Mixue Bingcheng's entry may be the prelude to a full-scale 'fresh beer revolution.' In the future, people won't ask 'Where is beer?' but 'Where is the freshest beer?' This might be the future of beer. Building an 'ultimate fresh beer supply chain'—can craft beer produce brands like Luckin and Cotti? Beer iteration and upgrade What's worth learning from Luckin and Cotti Coffee Both companies are representative in the industry. Luckin Coffee, for example, provides a blueprint for fresh beer development. Its business model's core is transforming an 'experiential' beverage, once limited to specific settings and higher prices, into a 'daily necessity' accessible to the masses through digitalization, standardization, and high-density networks. This offers a reference for the 'fresh draft' and 'popularization' of fresh beer. Breaking scene limitations: From 'bar/restaurant exclusive' to 'available on the street' Luckin broke the 'third space' limitation of Starbucks, not pursuing spacious, comfortable in-store environments but opening numerous small, low-rent street-side pickup stores. This allows coffee to appear in every corner of consumers' commutes, work, and life. Learning from Luckin, fresh beer should no longer be exclusive to bars or upscale restaurants. In the future, small fresh beer draft stations should be developed, akin to a 'beer version of Luckin.' These stations can be located in high-traffic areas such as next to community convenience stores, at the bottom of office buildings, near subway entrances, or at night market entrances, allowing consumers to easily purchase a freshly tapped beer as they would a bottle of water or a cup of coffee. Mixue Bingcheng's acquisition of Fujia is precisely because it sees the network of tens of thousands of stores nationwide, enabling rapid integration of fresh beer into these accessible consumption points. Affordable pricing: Creating 'affordable freshly made' bestsellers Luckin significantly reduced costs through efficient supply chain management and scale operations, offering freshly ground coffee at prices far below Starbucks. Combined with large-scale coupons and marketing campaigns, it quickly educated the market and cultivated user habits. Currently, craft beer prices are generally high, hindering popularization. Fresh beer brands need to learn from Luckin's cost control, reducing costs through centralized brewing, optimized logistics, and simplified store operations. Launching 'national fresh beer' priced at 10-20 yuan will allow ordinary consumers to enjoy it daily, expanding the market. Mixue Bingcheng's expertise in 'extreme cost-performance' is key to achieving this goal. Embracing digitalization and instant retail: Seamless online-offline integration Luckin has been a 'digital-native' company since its inception. Its app is central, with users ordering, paying, and claiming coupons online, then picking up in-store or having delivery, achieving high operational efficiency and user loyalty. Learning from Luckin, fresh beer draft stations must deeply integrate with instant retail platforms like Meituan, JD Daojia, and Taobao Flash Purchase. Consumers can order with one click from home or office, enjoying 'fresh beer delivered to your door.' Establishing their own membership system and app, using data analytics to understand user preferences, enables precise marketing and new product development. The 'online traffic + offline draft' model greatly expands the service radius of each draft station and improves revenue per square foot. Standardization and scale: Ensuring quality and expansion speed Luckin achieved high standardization of coffee-making processes, ensuring consistent quality across stores. Meanwhile, with capital support, it achieved lightning-fast store expansion. Learning from Luckin, quality stability is crucial for fresh beer. Unified brewing standards, cold-chain transport specifications, and draft beer operation procedures must be established to ensure every cup is fresh, hygienic, and consistent in flavor. Leveraging the mature supply chain and management systems of large companies (like Mixue Bingcheng) can rapidly replicate and expand fresh beer draft networks, seizing market opportunities. Product innovation and localization: Meeting diverse needs Luckin continuously launches seasonal limited editions and co-branded products, successfully attracting young consumers and creating phenomenal hits like 'Sauce Aroma Latte.' Learning from Luckin, fresh beer should not be limited to traditional German lagers or IPAs. It can develop fruit-flavored, tea-flavored, low-alcohol/non-alcoholic fresh beers that better suit Chinese consumer tastes. Combining local characteristics, 'city-limited' flavors can enhance a sense of belonging and desire to try. Learning from Luckin, fresh beer should use digital tools and efficient supply chains to provide high-quality 'fresh draft' beer to the public at affordable prices and convenience, meeting personalized consumption needs. China's 30 years of coffee have charted a path from 'instant' to 'freshly ground' to 'affordable freshly made.' Beer is now retracing this path, but at a faster pace. Therefore, the future winners in the beer sector are likely to be those 'new fresh beer species' that, like Luckin and Cotti, build high-density draft networks + extreme cost-performance + digital operations + instant retail delivery. When a fresh, affordable, and conveniently accessible fresh beer becomes a daily staple, the next golden era for China's beer industry will arrive.